ACTA DIURNA

Elections · Columbus · Wed Nov 11, 8:00 AM Eastern

Analysts say prediction markets and polls are not interchangeable

Prediction markets and polls both predicted Ohio's election outcomes, analysts said. Dominik Stecula, an Ohio State political science professor, said markets react more quickly than polls.

1 report

• NBC4 (WCMH)Polls or prediction markets: Which was a better indicator in Ohio's elections? Nov 11, 8:00 AM

What traders expect

• Ramaswamy vote share for governorAt least 47% 14% · At least 44% 91% on Kalshi
• Ohio Governor election: Amy Acton vote percentAt least 52% 95% · At least 50% 94% on Kalshi

In this story: Dominik Stecula

Headline and summary written by the Acta Diurna desk using only what the outlets above reported. Read their reporting for the full story. How we stay neutral.

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