Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 10:39 PM Eastern
Michigan Senate margin of victory: odds today
Michigan Senate margin of victory (On November 3, 2026)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| El-Sayed, 6.6+ pts | 95% |
| El-Sayed, 6.4+ pts | 95% |
| El-Sayed, 7+ pts | 92% |
About $4,929,688 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 95¢ means the market puts it at about 95%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The Detroit news behind it
- Muslim Americans celebrate Abdul El-Sayed's victory1 outlet · Nov 6
- Abdul El-Sayed wins Michigan U.S. Senate race over Mike Rogers2 outlets · Nov 4
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