Sunday, November 8, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

Indianapolis

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 11:51 PM Eastern

Indiana's 2nd District margin of victory: odds today

Indiana's 2nd District margin of victory (Indiana's 2nd District)

OutcomeChance
Yakym, 10+ pts78%
Yakym, 13+ pts71%
Yakym, 16+ pts49%
Yakym, 22+ pts20%
Yakym, 28+ pts10%
Yakym, 31+ pts10%

About $5,291 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 78¢ means the market puts it at about 78%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

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