Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 10:44 PM Central
Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence: odds today
Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence? (Bougainville independence)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 52% |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 15% |
About $15,633 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 52¢ means the market puts it at about 52%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
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