Monday, November 9, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

Louisville

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Mon Nov 9, 12:30 AM Eastern

Kentucky's 4th District margin of victory: odds today

Kentucky's 4th District margin of victory (Kentucky's 4th District)

OutcomeChance
Gallrein, 6+ pts91%
Gallrein, 18+ pts28%
Gallrein, 36+ pts23%
Gallrein, 24+ pts15%
Gallrein, 30+ pts15%
Gallrein, 42+ pts13%

About $23,332 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 91¢ means the market puts it at about 91%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

More Louisville odds