Sunday, November 8, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 10:59 PM Central

Tennessee's 4th District margin of victory: odds today

Tennessee's 4th District margin of victory (Tennessee's 4th District)

OutcomeChance
DesJarlais, 21+ pts37%
DesJarlais, 18+ pts35%
DesJarlais, 24+ pts17%
DesJarlais, 33+ pts17%
DesJarlais, 48+ pts7%
DesJarlais, 27+ pts6%

About $12,875 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 37¢ means the market puts it at about 37%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

The Nashville news behind it

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