Saturday, November 14, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

Ottawa

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sat Nov 14, 2:13 AM Eastern

Ontario Liberal Party leadership: odds today

Ontario Liberal Party leadership election winner? (in 2026)

OutcomeChance
Lee Fairclough73%
Navdeep Bains25%

About $5,816 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 73¢ means the market puts it at about 73%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

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