Monday, November 9, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

Ottawa

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Mon Nov 9, 1:00 AM Eastern

Shopify gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026: odds today

Shopify gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026 (gross merchandise volume in 2026)

OutcomeChance
Above $480 billion96%
Above $470 billion93%
Above $490 billion78%
Above $500 billion34%
Above $510 billion14%

About $11,825 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 96¢ means the market puts it at about 96%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

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