Saturday, November 14, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

Ottawa

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sat Nov 14, 2:13 AM Eastern

Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader: odds today

Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader? (Before Jan 3, 2027)

OutcomeChance
Abdul El-Sayed94%
Peggy Flanagan83%
Juliana Stratton77%
Elizabeth Warren66%
Annie Andrews61%
Adam Hamilton38%

About $10,179 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 94¢ means the market puts it at about 94%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

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