Monday, November 9, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

Ottawa

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Mon Nov 9, 1:00 AM Eastern

Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake: odds today

Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake? (Before 2028)

OutcomeChance
Rand Paul60%
Susan Collins45%
Lisa Murkowski29%
Bill Cassidy8%
Thom Tillis6%
Mitch McConnell5%

About $38,434 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 60¢ means the market puts it at about 60%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

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