Monday, November 9, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

Ottawa

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Mon Nov 9, 1:00 AM Eastern

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act: odds today

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? (Before 2027)

OutcomeChance
Lisa Blunt Rochester6%
Mark Warner6%
Catherine Cortez Masto6%
Kirsten Gillibrand4%
Rand Paul4%
Mike Lee4%

About $63,795 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 6¢ means the market puts it at about 6%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

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