Wednesday, November 11, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

Richmond

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Wed Nov 11, 1:15 AM Eastern

Virginia's 5th District margin of victory: odds today

Virginia's 5th District margin of victory (Virginia's 5th District)

OutcomeChance
McGuire, 9+ pts10%

About $29,799 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 10¢ means the market puts it at about 10%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

The Richmond news behind it

More Richmond odds