Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 10:18 PM Central
Texas Senate margin of victory: odds today
Texas Senate margin of victory (On November 3, 2026)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| James Talarico, 12+ pts | 93% |
| James Talarico, 12.2+ pts | 80% |
| James Talarico, 12.1+ pts | 76% |
About $7,808,362 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 93¢ means the market puts it at about 93%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The San Antonio news behind it
More San Antonio odds
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- Spurs regular season wins, 2026-2760+ wins 52% · 65+ wins 18%
- Peak Texas gas price in 2026Above $4.20 a gallon 10% · Above $4.40 a gallon 6%
- Texas data center moratoriumBy June 30, 2027 18% · By Dec 31, 2028 34%
- Texas enacts a state income taxBefore 2030 22% · Before 2028 8%
- Texas 2028 presidential winnerRepublican wins 60% · Democrat wins 38%
- Texas Governor margin of victoryHinojosa, 7+ pts 95%
- Texas crude oil production in 2026Above 5.8 million barrels/day 8%