Sunday, November 8, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

St. Louis

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 10:14 PM Central

Missouri's 6th District margin of victory: odds today

Missouri's 6th District margin of victory (Missouri's 6th District)

OutcomeChance
Republicans, 36+ pts16%
Republicans, 21+ pts4%

About $9,460 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 16¢ means the market puts it at about 16%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

More St. Louis odds