Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 10:52 PM Eastern
How many House seats will Democrats win in Florida: odds today
How many House seats will Democrats win in Florida? (On Nov 3, 2026)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| 8 | 65% |
| 9 | 6% |
About $16,121 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 65¢ means the market puts it at about 65%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The Tampa Bay news behind it
- Is Florida turning purple again? Democrats make key gains despite Republican statewide election wins1 outlet · Nov 4
- Republicans capture most US House seats in Tampa Bay, but Castor wins1 outlet · Nov 3
- DSA-endorsed candidate flips Florida House seat in Hillsborough County1 outlet · Nov 3
- Pasco Sheriff Chris Nocco wins, Democrats flip 17 Legislative seats1 outlet · Nov 3
More Tampa Bay odds
- Tampa rainfall in NovemberAbove 3 inches 37% · Above 2 inches 82%
- Buccaneers 2026-27 regular season wins8 or more wins 46% · 9 or more wins 16%
- Peak Florida gas price this yearAbove $4.70 a gallon 12% · Above $5.10 a gallon 8%
- Florida visitors in 2026Above 142 million 42% · Above 140 million 82%
- DeSantis announces presidential runBy Feb 1, 2027 73% · By Jan 1, 2027 8%
- Florida Senate winner in 2028Republican 70% · Democrat 28%
- Starship launches from FloridaBefore 2027 18%
- Florida Senate margin of victoryMoody, 3+ pts 5%