Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Mon Nov 9, 10:45 PM Central
Texas presidential: odds today
Texas presidential election winner? (Texas)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Republican party | 62% |
| Democratic party | 38% |
About $19,237 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 62¢ means the market puts it at about 62%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The Austin news behind it
- Voters gather at Elon Musk's Austin compound after midterms1 outlet · Nov 7
- Council Member Fuentes responds to Texas election results1 outlet · Nov 6
- Gravel spill closes eastbound SH 71 near Austin airport2 outlets · Nov 5
- Crowds gather at Texas Capitol on election night1 outlet · Nov 4
More Austin odds
- Austin median home value at year-endUnder $397K 89% · $397K to $407K 2%
- Austin rainfall in NovemberAbove 4 inches 40% · Above 3 inches 71%
- Texas data center moratoriumBy June 30, 2027 18% · By Dec 31, 2028 34%
- Texas enacts a state income taxBefore 2030 22% · Before 2029 12%
- Tesla and SpaceX merger announcedBy June 30, 2027 54% · By Feb 28, 2027 32%
- Tesla total deliveries in 2026Above 1.8 million 42% · Above 1.85 million 11%
- Peak Texas gas price this yearAbove $4.20 a gallon 10% · Above $4.40 a gallon 6%
- Texas vs LSUTexas wins 38% · LSU wins 62%