Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Fri Nov 13, 11:58 PM Eastern
Chris Van Hollen announces a 2028 run: odds today
Will Chris Van Hollen announce a presidential run?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 18% |
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | 30% |
Before Mar 1, 2027: -16 points over 24 hours. About $72,014 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 18¢ means the market puts it at about 18%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The Baltimore news behind it
- Van Hollen to challenge Schumer for Senate Democratic leader, saying voters ‘called for change’1 outlet · Nov 12
- Maryland’s Van Hollen drops White House plans to focus on Senate’s top job1 outlet · Nov 13
- Van Hollen considers challenging Schumer for Senate leader post1 outlet · Nov 9
- Stray Kids announce June 2027 concert at M&T Bank Stadium2 outlets · Nov 10
More Baltimore odds
- Port of Baltimore container volume in 2026Above 1,113,309 TEUs 36%
- Chargers at RavensRavens win 66% · Chargers win 34%
- Key Bridge main span contract awardedBy Oct 1, 2027 56%
- Wes Moore announces a 2028 presidential runBefore Mar 1, 2027 46% · Before Oct 1, 2027 82%
- Maryland governor margin of victoryMoore wins by 33+ 70% · Moore wins by 39+ 5%
- MD-05 House election: Brian Jordan vote percentAt least 1% 5% · At least 2% 4%
- Who will be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British ColumbiaLorne Doerkson 68% · Caroline Elliott 8%
- Maryland's 1st District margin of victoryHarris, 8+ pts 86% · Harris, 11+ pts 63%