Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Thu Nov 12, 11:00 PM Eastern
Massachusetts Senate margin: odds today
Massachusetts Senate margin of victory
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Markey wins by 33+ | 6% |
| Markey wins by 31+ | 95% |
About $44,495 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 6¢ means the market puts it at about 6%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
More Boston odds
- Boston snowfall in December 2026Above 6 inches 41% · Above 8 inches 34%
- Celtics regular-season wins, 2026-2755+ wins 62% · 60+ wins 36%
- Massachusetts scientific R&D jobsAbove 103,400 jobs 69%
- Healey share of governor voteHealey at least 62% 47%
- Boston Calling Music Festival 2027: HeadlinersThe Strokes 19% · Vampire Weekend 16%
- Massachusetts Senate election: John Deaton vote percentAt least 32% 95% · At least 36% 16%
- MA-09 House winner (2028)Democratic party 93% · Republican party 6%
- Massachusetts Governor election: Mike Minogue vote percentAt least 40% 19% · At least 38% 6%