Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Mon Nov 9, 2:03 PM Central
Peak ERCOT grid demand, 2026: odds today
How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Above 91,500 MW | 4% |
| Above 93,000 MW | 2% |
Above 91,500 MW: no change over 24 hours. About $1,054,844 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 4¢ means the market puts it at about 4%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
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