Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Mon Nov 9, 9:56 AM Central
Severe Texas freeze at DFW and Houston: odds today
Will the average minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Before 2028 | 40% |
| Before 2029 | 66% |
About $565 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 40¢ means the market puts it at about 40%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The Dallas–Fort Worth news behind it
- Mild, mostly quiet week ahead for North Texas1 outlet · Nov 9
- Flash flood warnings issued in South Texas as DFW awaits cold front1 outlet · Nov 8
More Dallas–Fort Worth odds
- Dallas rainfall in NovemberAbove 2 inches 44% · Above 3 inches 24%
- Cowboys regular-season wins9+ wins 37% · 8+ wins 62%
- Collin County judge winnerChris Hill 94% · John Brown 4%
- Texas enacts a state income taxBefore 2030 22% · Before 2028 8%
- Texas 2028 presidential winnerRepublican wins 61% · Democrat wins 40%
- American Airlines load factor, 2026Above 82% 58% · Above 82.5% 32%
- Southwest average fare, 2026Above $230 86% · Above $235 20%
- Texas Senate margin of victoryJames Talarico, 12+ pts 94% · James Talarico, 12.1+ pts 73%
All Dallas–Fort Worth prediction markets · Dallas–Fort Worth news today