Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Tue Nov 10, 4:29 AM Central
Texas winner in 2028 presidential race: odds today
Texas presidential election winner?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Republican wins | 62% |
| Democrat wins | 38% |
Republican wins: +2 points over 24 hours. About $19,237 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 62¢ means the market puts it at about 62%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The Dallas–Fort Worth news behind it
- Withdrawn Democrat unofficially wins Texas House District 931 outlet · Nov 5
- Four North Texas counties back Democrats in 2026 statewide races1 outlet · Nov 5
More Dallas–Fort Worth odds
- Dallas home values in NovemberAbove $316,000 82%
- Hard freeze in DFW and HoustonBefore 2028 39% · Before 2029 65%
- Dallas rainfall in NovemberAbove 2 inches 38% · Above 1 inch 74%
- 49ers at Cowboys, Nov 1549ers win 66% · Cowboys win 34%
- Collin County judge raceChris Hill wins 94% · John Brown wins 5%
- Texas enacts a state income taxBefore 2030 22% · Before 2028 8%
- Peak Texas gas price this yearAbove $4.20 a gallon 12% · Above $4.40 a gallon 6%
- American Airlines load factor, 2026Above 82% 58% · Above 82.5% 32%
All Dallas–Fort Worth prediction markets · Dallas–Fort Worth news today