Thursday, November 12, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Thu Nov 12, 11:13 PM Eastern

Michigan's 7th District margin of victory: odds today

Michigan's 7th District margin of victory (Michigan's 7th District)

OutcomeChance
Lawrence, 3+ pts96%

About $34,269 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 96¢ means the market puts it at about 96%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

The Detroit news behind it

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