Houston prediction markets
Odds as of Sun Nov 8, 9:06 PM Central, busiest markets first. Prices reflect what traders are betting, not our view.
- Houston Hub power price, NovemberAbove $35/MWh 62% · Above $40/MWh 22% · Kalshi
- Houston rainfall in NovemberAbove 3 inches 73% · Above 4 inches 34% · Kalshi
- Texans regular season wins9+ wins 57% · 10+ wins 34% · Kalshi
- Hard freeze in Texas (DFW and IAH)By end of 2027 40% · By end of 2028 66% · Kalshi
- Texas enacts a state income taxBefore 2030 22% · Before 2029 12% · Kalshi
- Texas Senate margin of victoryTalarico by 12.1+ 76% · Talarico by 12.2+ 80% · Kalshi
- Texas 2028 presidential winnerRepublican wins 60% · Democrat wins 38% · Kalshi
- Peak Texas gas price this yearAbove $4.20 a gallon 10% · Above $4.40 a gallon 6% · Kalshi
- Texas crude oil output in 2026Above 5.8M barrels/day 8% · Above 5.9M barrels/day 2% · Kalshi
- Texas Governor margin of victoryHinojosa, 7+ pts 95% · Kalshi
- Texas Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 10.15M 10% · Above 10.00M 5% · Kalshi
- Choosin' Texas weeks at #1: 2026At least 29 weeks 88% · At least 30 weeks 56% · Kalshi
- Texas Senate election: James Talarico vote percentAt least 58% 13% · Kalshi
- TX-23 House election: Brandon Herrera vote percentAt least 44% 95% · Kalshi
- Texas Senate election: Ken Paxton vote percentAt least 44% 7% · Kalshi
- Texas Governor election: Gina Hinojosa vote percentAt least 46% 95% · At least 50% 86% · Kalshi
- Texas Governor election: Greg Abbott vote percentAt least 46% 6% · Kalshi
- How many Texas counties will James Talarico win in 2026At least 42 5% · Kalshi
- Texas Senate election: Ted Brown vote percent: Vote Percent - Ted BrownAt least 2% 6% · Kalshi
- Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau: Engaged in 2026Before 2027 12% · Kalshi
- Webb County, Texas: James Talarico vote percentAt least 67% 96% · At least 56% 89% · Kalshi
- Texas's 23rd District margin of victoryStout, 1+ pts 86% · Stout, 13+ pts 52% · Kalshi
- Bexar County, Texas: James Talarico vote percentAt least 58% 96% · At least 66% 75% · Kalshi
- TX-15 House election: Monica De La Cruz vote percentAt least 40% 15% · Kalshi
- Starr County, Texas: James Talarico vote percentAt least 66% 62% · At least 64% 30% · Kalshi
- Harris County, Texas: James Talarico vote percentAt least 62% 96% · At least 64% 96% · Kalshi
- Texas gas prices tomorrowAbove 3.4700 49% · Above 3.4950 9% · Kalshi
- Tarrant County, Texas: James Talarico vote percentAt least 55% 93% · At least 53% 49% · Kalshi
- Dallas County, Texas: James Talarico vote percentAt least 70% 75% · At least 78% 12% · Kalshi
- Hidalgo County, Texas: James Talarico vote percentAt least 68% 96% · At least 54% 84% · Kalshi
- TX-30 House election: Everett Jackson vote percentAt least 16% 94% · At least 18% 85% · Kalshi
- TX-17 House winner (2028)Republican party 93% · Democratic party 6% · Kalshi
- TX-23 House election: Katy Padilla Stout vote percentAt least 40% 95% · At least 52% 81% · Kalshi
- TX-05 House winner (2028)Republican party 90% · Democratic party 9% · Kalshi
- TX-37 House election: Lauren Peña vote percentAt least 12% 89% · At least 14% 80% · Kalshi
- TX-38 House election: Melissa McDonough vote percentAt least 46% 20% · At least 48% 11% · Kalshi
- TX-30 House election: Frederick Haynes vote percentAt least 72% 90% · At least 74% 72% · Kalshi
- Texas's 5th District margin of victoryGooden, 5+ pts 6% · Kalshi
- Travis County, Texas: James Talarico vote percentAt least 72% 94% · At least 80% 13% · Kalshi
- TX-06 House winner (2028)Republican party 92% · Democratic party 8% · Kalshi
- Texas's 32nd District margin of victoryYarbrough, 15+ pts 11% · Kalshi
- TX-10 House winner (2028)Republican party 90% · Democratic party 9% · Kalshi
- Collin County, Texas: James Talarico vote percentAt least 51% 90% · At least 46% 84% · Kalshi
- TX-03 House winner (2028)Republican party 90% · Democratic party 8% · Kalshi
- Texas's 25th District margin of victoryWilliams, 6+ pts 96% · Williams, 24+ pts 24% · Kalshi
- Texas's 34th District margin of victoryGonzalez, 1+ pts 96% · Gonzalez, 7+ pts 95% · Kalshi
- Texas's 35th District margin of victoryGarcia, 11+ pts 12% · Garcia, 14+ pts 7% · Kalshi
- TX-28 House election: Henry Cuellar vote percentAt least 56% 94% · At least 48% 85% · Kalshi
- Choosin’ Texas weeks at #1: NovemberAt least 3 weeks 75% · At least 4 weeks 61% · Kalshi
- TX-27 House election: Michael Cloud vote percentAt least 50% 91% · At least 52% 72% · Kalshi
- TX-26 House election: Brandon Gill vote percentAt least 56% 91% · At least 54% 77% · Kalshi
- KS-04 House election: Katy Tyndell vote percentAt least 44% 24% · Kalshi
- GA-10 House election: Houston Gaines vote percent (1st Round)At least 52% 94% · At least 50% 91% · Kalshi
- ERCOT Houston Hub average real-time power price (Week 46)Above $40/MWh 44% · Kalshi