Prediction market · Polymarket · updated Sun Nov 8, 7:33 PM Pacific
California 7.0+ earthquake in 2026: odds today
Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Quake of 7.0 or more | 11% |
Quake of 7.0 or more: no change over 24 hours. About $8,389 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Polymarket, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 11¢ means the market puts it at about 11%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Polymarket, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
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