Las Vegas prediction markets
Odds as of Sun Nov 8, 8:36 PM Pacific, busiest markets first. Prices reflect what traders are betting, not our view.
- Who performs at the Sphere in 2027U2 plays 47% · Coldplay plays 30% · Kalshi
- November rainfall in Las VegasAbove 1 inch 25% · Above 2 inches 7% · Kalshi
- Raiders regular season wins8+ wins 51% · 9+ wins 30% · Kalshi
- Lake Mead level at end of DecemberAbove 1,039 ft 25% · Above 1,038 ft 75% · Kalshi
- Ford's vote share in Clark CountyAt least 56% 50% · At least 58% 23% · Kalshi
- Nevada home prices year over yearPrices rise 82% · Kalshi
- Nevada visitors in 2026Above 50 million 44% · Above 51 million 8% · Kalshi
- Ford's statewide vote share for governorAt least 52% 52% · At least 54% 10% · Kalshi
- Nevada governor race turnoutAbove 1.12M voters 38% · Above 1.02M voters 63% · Kalshi
- Nevada Governor margin of victoryFord, 6+ pts 96% · Ford, 9+ pts 9% · Kalshi
- Nevada Governor: which counties will Aaron Ford winMineral 5% · Carson City 5% · Kalshi
- NV-02 House election: David Flippo vote percentAt least 46% 54% · At least 48% 9% · Kalshi
- Nevada Governor election: None of These Candidates vote shareAt least 1.0% 94% · At least 1.5% 65% · Kalshi
- NV-02 House election: Teresa Benitez-Thompson vote percentAt least 46% 96% · At least 44% 94% · Kalshi
- Nevada's 2nd District margin of victoryThompson, 1+ pts 95% · Thompson, 5+ pts 67% · Kalshi
- Nevada's 4th District margin of victoryHorsford, 7+ pts 96% · Horsford, 1+ pts 92% · Kalshi
- Nevada's 1st District margin of victoryTitus, 13+ pts 92% · Titus, 4+ pts 87% · Kalshi
- NV-01 House election: Carrie Buck vote percentAt least 48% 21% · At least 46% 16% · Kalshi
- Nevada Governor election: Joe Lombardo vote percentAt least 46% 6% · At least 52% 6% · Kalshi
- NV-04 House election: Cody Whipple vote percentAt least 44% 42% · At least 42% 42% · Kalshi