Thursday, November 12, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

Louisville

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Thu Nov 12, 1:18 AM Eastern

Louisville US House seat, KY-03, 2028: odds today

KY-03 House winner? (2028)

OutcomeChance
Democrat wins93%
Republican wins7%

Democrat wins: no change over 24 hours. About $9,372 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 93¢ means the market puts it at about 93%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

The Louisville news behind it

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