Tuesday, November 10, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Tue Nov 10, 10:04 PM Central

Target Q3 comparable transactions: odds today

Target transactions change in Q3 2026

OutcomeChance
Above 4% growth52%
Above 4.5% growth36%

Above 4% growth: +1 points over 24 hours. About $34,139 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 52¢ means the market puts it at about 52%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

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