Thursday, November 12, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

New York City

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Thu Nov 12, 6:00 PM Eastern

A court rule NYC's pied-à-terre tax unconstitutional: odds today

Will a court rule NYC's pied-à-terre tax unconstitutional? (Before Jan 1, 2028)

OutcomeChance
Before Jan 1, 202847%

About $105 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 47¢ means the market puts it at about 47%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

The New York City news behind it

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