Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Tue Nov 10, 6:21 PM Eastern
How many affordable homes will NYC finance in FY2027: odds today
How many affordable homes will NYC finance in FY2027? (for New York City fiscal year 2027, from July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Above 15,000 | 89% |
| Above 20,000 | 78% |
| Above 25,000 | 67% |
| Above 30,000 | 56% |
| Above 35,000 | 42% |
| Above 40,000 | 36% |
About $264 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 89¢ means the market puts it at about 89%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The New York City news behind it
- Half of surveyed NYC restaurants and bars broke even or lost money2 outlets · Nov 10
- DOC NYC documentary festival returns for 17th year1 outlet · Nov 10
- Survey finds many Americans distrust U.S. government institutions1 outlet · Nov 9
- NYC pension funds gained about 23% in last two fiscal years1 outlet · Nov 9
More New York City odds
- NYC median asking rent in December 2026Above $4,000 50% · Above $4,100 22%
- NYC subway ridership reaches pre-Covid averageHits 4.19 million 52%
- Mamdani raises corporate taxesBefore 2029 44% · Before 2028 26%
- City-owned grocery store opensBefore 2028 74%
- Manhattan congestion-zone entries in 2026Above 170 million 78% · Above 175 million 17%
- New York City mayoral election winner 2029Zohran Mamdani 82% · Jessica Tisch 5%
- New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026Above $3.80 a gallon 29% · Above $3.90 a gallon 14%
- NY-NJ port container volume in 2026Above 8.9M containers 50% · Above 8.8M containers 74%
All New York City prediction markets · New York City news today