Wednesday, November 11, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

New York City

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Wed Nov 11, 2:38 AM Eastern

Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026: odds today

Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026? (for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026)

OutcomeChance
Above 170 million78%
Above 175 million17%
Above 180 million13%
Above 185 million9%
Above 190 million5%

About $12,410 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 78¢ means the market puts it at about 78%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

The New York City news behind it

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