Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Tue Nov 10, 10:29 PM Eastern
New York City mayoral: odds today
New York City mayoral election winner? (In 2029)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Zohran Mamdani | 80% |
| Jessica Tisch | 5% |
| Curtis Sliwa | 5% |
| Eric Adams | 4% |
About $22,026 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 80¢ means the market puts it at about 80%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
More New York City odds
- NYC median asking rent, December 2026Above $4,000 50% · Above $4,100 22%
- Mamdani raises corporate taxesBefore 2029 44% · Before 2028 26%
- Subway ridership back to pre-Covid averageReaches 4.19 million 52%
- Congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026Above 170 million 78% · Above 175 million 17%
- Affordable homes NYC finances in FY2027Above 35,000 homes 42% · Above 30,000 homes 53%
- Manhattan office vacancy, Q4 2026Below 18% vacancy 55%
- December 2026 snowfall in NYCAbove 2 inches 42% · Above 6 inches 22%
- New Jersey gas price at year-endAbove $3.80 a gallon 29% · Above $3.70 a gallon 75%
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