Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 11:04 PM Eastern
Donalds vote share for governor: odds today
Florida Governor election: Byron Donalds vote percent
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| At least 50% | 89% |
| At least 54% | 2% |
About $87,765 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 89¢ means the market puts it at about 89%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The Orlando news behind it
- Orange County backs Jolly as Donalds wins Florida governor race1 outlet · Nov 4
- Byron Donalds wins Florida governor's race1 outlet · Nov 4
- Florida Amendment 3 property tax measure passes with 62% of vote1 outlet · Nov 4
- Felipe Sousa Lazaballet wins Florida House District 42 seat1 outlet · Nov 4
More Orlando odds
- Orlando hotel demand in 2026Above 34.5M room nights 66%
- Orlando Magic regular season wins45+ wins 20% · 40+ wins 47%
- Peak Florida gas price in 2026Above $4.70 a gallon 12% · Above $5.10 a gallon 8%
- Visitors to Florida in 2026Above 142 million 42% · Above 140 million 82%
- Democratic US House seats in FloridaDemocrats win 8 65% · Democrats win 9 6%
- Florida governor election turnoutAbove 8.5M voters 9% · Above 8.9M voters 4%
- UCF football 2026 win total7.5+ wins 28% · 6.5+ wins 60%
- Florida Governor margin of victoryDonalds, 1.1+ pts 75% · Donalds, 1+ pts 65%