Thursday, November 12, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Thu Nov 12, 11:43 PM Eastern

FL-18 House race winner, 2028: odds today

FL-18 House winner? (2028)

OutcomeChance
Republican win84%
Democratic win17%

About $14,846 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 84¢ means the market puts it at about 84%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

The Orlando news behind it

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