Saturday, November 14, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

Orlando

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sat Nov 14, 11:54 PM Eastern

Florida Senate race margin: odds today

Florida Senate margin of victory

OutcomeChance
Moody wins by 16+13%
Moody wins by 7.5+3%

About $2,997,500 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 13¢ means the market puts it at about 13%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

The Orlando news behind it

More Orlando odds