Thursday, November 12, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

Philadelphia

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Thu Nov 12, 10:49 PM Eastern

Pennsylvania Republican Senate nominee (2028): odds today

Pennsylvania Republican Senate nominee? (2028) (Pennsylvania (R))

OutcomeChance
John Fetterman20%
Brian Fitzpatrick18%
Dan Meuser12%
Dave Sunday12%
Guy Reschenthaler8%
Scott Perry5%

About $141,078 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 20¢ means the market puts it at about 20%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

The Philadelphia news behind it

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