Thursday, November 12, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Thu Nov 12, 10:49 PM Eastern

Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent: odds today

Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent (Vote Percent - Josh Shapiro)

OutcomeChance
At least 90%14%
At least 92%5%
At least 96%4%

About $11,851 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 14¢ means the market puts it at about 14%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

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