Monday, November 9, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

Pittsburgh

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Mon Nov 9, 11:57 PM Eastern

Shapiro margin in governor race: odds today

Josh Shapiro margin of victory

OutcomeChance
Wins by 25+ points20%

Wins by 25+ points: -8 points over 24 hours. About $69,947 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 20¢ means the market puts it at about 20%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

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