Monday, November 9, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

Raleigh

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Mon Nov 9, 12:17 AM Eastern

NC-03 House: odds today

NC-03 House winner? (NC-03)

OutcomeChance
Raymond Smith Jr.86%
Greg Murphy15%

About $8,792,543 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 86¢ means the market puts it at about 86%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

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