Raleigh prediction markets
Odds as of Mon Nov 9, 12:17 AM Eastern, busiest markets first. Prices reflect what traders are betting, not our view.
- RDU airport passengers in 2026Above 15.75 million 82% · Above 16.00 million 18% · Kalshi
- Cooper's vote share in Wake CountyAt least 66% 61% · At least 70% 43% · Kalshi
- Wake Forest vs SMUWake Forest wins 52% · SMU wins 48% · Kalshi
- NC data center moratoriumBy Jun 30, 2027 12% · By Dec 31, 2028 32% · Polymarket
- NC governor party in 2028Democratic 66% · Republican 32% · Kalshi
- NC Senate seat party in 2028Democratic 68% · Republican 30% · Kalshi
- Lowe's customer transactions, fiscal 2026Above 765 million 48% · Above 770 million 20% · Kalshi
- NC pharma manufacturing jobsAbove 26,500 jobs 29% · Kalshi
- NC-03 HouseRaymond Smith Jr. 86% · Greg Murphy 15% · Kalshi
- North Carolina Senate margin of victoryCooper, 10.5+ pts 95% · Cooper, 23+ pts 15% · Kalshi
- North Carolina's 3rd District margin of victoryMurphy, 0.1+ pts 16% · Murphy, 3+ pts 6% · Kalshi
- North Carolina State SenateRepublican party 94% · Kalshi
- North Carolina's 3rd District margin of victorySmith, 0.1+ pts 80% · Smith, 0.3+ pts 50% · Kalshi
- Lowe's customer transactions in Q3 2026Above 178 million 96% · Above 179 million 96% · Kalshi
- North Carolina Senate election: Roy Cooper vote percentAt least 58% 94% · Kalshi
- North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 3.40M 95% · Above 3.60M 90% · Kalshi
- North Carolina Senate election: Michael Whatley vote percentAt least 38% 94% · At least 45% 9% · Kalshi
- North Carolina's 7th District margin of victoryRouzer, 1+ pts 19% · Rouzer, 9+ pts 9% · Kalshi
- North Carolina's 1st District margin of victoryDavis, 1+ pts 94% · Davis, 4+ pts 69% · Kalshi
- North Carolina's 8th District margin of victoryHarris, 2+ pts 87% · Harris, 17+ pts 21% · Kalshi
- North Carolina's 11th District margin of victoryAger, 4+ pts 96% · Kalshi
- NC-01 House election: Laurie Buckhout vote percentAt least 44% 94% · At least 40% 94% · Kalshi
- NC-12 House election: Jack Codiga vote percentAt least 16% 87% · At least 20% 64% · Kalshi
- North Carolina 04 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 330K 96% · Above 340K 96% · Kalshi
- When will AP call the NC-03 House electionBefore Dec 15 94% · Before Dec 1 88% · Kalshi
- NC-04 House election: Max Ganorkar vote percentAt least 30% 10% · At least 22% 10% · Kalshi
- NC-08 House winner (2028)Republican party 91% · Democratic party 9% · Kalshi
- Mecklenburg County, North Carolina: Roy Cooper vote percentAt least 66% 93% · At least 71% 90% · Kalshi
- NC-08 House election: Colby Watson vote percentAt least 38% 84% · At least 42% 65% · Kalshi
- NC-14 House election: Tim Moore vote percent: Vote Percent - Tim MooreAt least 50% 12% · At least 62% 9% · Kalshi