Monday, November 9, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

Raleigh

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Mon Nov 9, 12:17 AM Eastern

North Carolina's 3rd District margin of victory: odds today

North Carolina's 3rd District margin of victory (North Carolina's 3rd District)

OutcomeChance
Murphy, 0.1+ pts16%
Murphy, 3+ pts6%

About $299,383 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 16¢ means the market puts it at about 16%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

More Raleigh odds