Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Mon Nov 9, 12:17 AM Eastern
North Carolina Senate margin of victory: odds today
North Carolina Senate margin of victory (On November 3, 2026)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Cooper, 10.5+ pts | 95% |
| Cooper, 23+ pts | 15% |
| Cooper, 22+ pts | 5% |
About $1,188,187 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 95¢ means the market puts it at about 95%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The Raleigh news behind it
- Cooper wins NC Senate seat; Democrats take state House1 outlet · Nov 5
- Highway Patrol responds to 2,000+ deer crashes a year in Wake1 outlet · Nov 8
- National fraternity suspends NC State's Sigma Nu chapter4 outlets · Nov 6
More Raleigh odds
- RDU airport passengers in 2026Above 15.75 million 82% · Above 16.00 million 18%
- Cooper's vote share in Wake CountyAt least 66% 61% · At least 70% 43%
- Wake Forest vs SMUWake Forest wins 52% · SMU wins 48%
- NC data center moratoriumBy Jun 30, 2027 12% · By Dec 31, 2028 32%
- NC governor party in 2028Democratic 66% · Republican 32%
- NC Senate seat party in 2028Democratic 68% · Republican 30%
- Lowe's customer transactions, fiscal 2026Above 765 million 48% · Above 770 million 20%
- NC pharma manufacturing jobsAbove 26,500 jobs 29%