Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 8:28 PM Pacific
California ballot measures that pass: odds today
Which ballot measures will pass in California?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Prop 4 passes | 57% |
| Prop 42 passes | 89% |
Prop 4 passes: -27 points over 24 hours. About $64,356 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 57¢ means the market puts it at about 57%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
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