Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Mon Nov 9, 8:53 PM Pacific
Prop 40 wealth tax: margin of defeat: odds today
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| No wins by 4+ points | 68% |
| No wins by 7+ points | 8% |
No wins by 4+ points: -12 points over 24 hours. About $123,862 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 68¢ means the market puts it at about 68%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The Sacramento news behind it
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