Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Wed Nov 11, 9:04 PM Pacific
Which ballot measures will pass in California: odds today
Which ballot measures will pass in California? (In 2026)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Proposition 42 | 96% |
| Proposition 4 | 18% |
About $49,604 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 96¢ means the market puts it at about 96%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
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