San Diego prediction markets
Odds as of Sun Nov 8, 7:56 PM Pacific, busiest markets first. Prices reflect what traders are betting, not our view.
- Highest sea level in San Diego this winter8.30 ft or more 52% · 8.10 ft or more 75% · Polymarket
- Utah St. at San Diego St. on Nov 14San Diego St. wins 48% · Utah St. wins 52% · Kalshi
- California peak gas price this yearAbove $6.60 a gallon 21% · Above $6.80 a gallon 10% · Kalshi
- California housing permits in 2026Above 110,000 units 56% · Above 115,000 units 18% · Kalshi
- California home prices year over year, Q4Index above 419.85 34% · Kalshi
- California ballot measures that passProp 4 passes 46% · Prop 42 passes 89% · Kalshi
- California Prop 40 wealth tax marginFails by 7+ points 16% · Fails by 10+ points 2% · Kalshi
- California governor margin of victoryDemocrat wins by 30+ 92% · Democrat wins by 29+ 94% · Kalshi
- California starts laying high-speed rail trackBefore Jan 1, 2027 55% · Kalshi
- Magnitude 8.0 California earthquakeBefore 2035 20% · Kalshi
- California Governor General Election: voter turnoutAbove 11.5M 96% · Above 12.6M 93% · Kalshi
- California Governor: which counties will Steve Hilton winSan Joaquin 6% · Kalshi
- California Governor election: Steve Hilton vote percentAt least 34% 60% · At least 37% 9% · Kalshi
- California Governor election: Xavier Becerra vote percentAt least 64% 95% · At least 66% 22% · Kalshi
- Who will announce a California departure in 2026Chamath Palihapitiya 6% · Mark Zuckerberg 5% · Kalshi
- CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent: Vote Percent - Bob SmithAt least 24% 95% · At least 32% 84% · Kalshi
- Gavin Newsom announce a presidential runBefore Oct 1, 2027 78% · Before Jul 1, 2027 74% · Kalshi
- A human land on Mars before California starts high-speed railBefore 2050 29% · Kalshi
- California Proposition 40 election: Yes vote percentAt least 46% 93% · At least 48% 23% · Kalshi
- CA-49 House winner (2028)Democratic party 90% · Republican party 4% · Kalshi
- Number of data centers in California this yearAt least 305 70% · At least 315 45% · Kalshi
- California's 21st District margin of victoryCosta, 14+ pts 90% · Costa, 8+ pts 75% · Kalshi
- CA-22 House election: David Valadao vote percentAt least 42% 65% · At least 50% 15% · Kalshi
- CA-13 House election: Adam Gray vote percent: Vote Percent - Adam GrayAt least 50% 90% · At least 52% 81% · Kalshi
- Los Angeles County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percentAt least 68% 96% · At least 70% 50% · Kalshi
- Orange County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percentAt least 52% 90% · At least 54% 54% · Kalshi