Sunday, November 8, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

Seattle

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 7:43 PM Pacific

Courts rule Amazon a monopoly by 2030: odds today

Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?

OutcomeChance
Government wins42%

Government wins: +1 points over 24 hours. About $32,435 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 42¢ means the market puts it at about 42%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

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