Wednesday, November 11, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Wed Nov 11, 8:05 PM Pacific

WA-04 House winner (2028): odds today

WA-04 House winner? (2028) (WA-04)

OutcomeChance
Republican party90%
Democratic party8%

About $16,844 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 90¢ means the market puts it at about 90%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

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