Tuesday, November 10, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

Seattle

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Tue Nov 10, 7:59 PM Pacific

WA-04 House winner in 2028: odds today

WA-04 House winner? (2028)

OutcomeChance
Republican wins89%
Democrat wins9%

Republican wins: no change over 24 hours. About $16,844 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 89¢ means the market puts it at about 89%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

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