Monday, November 9, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

St. Louis

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Mon Nov 9, 10:34 PM Central

Missouri 4th District margin: odds today

Missouri's 4th District margin of victory

OutcomeChance
Republicans by 26+60%
Republicans by 23+82%

About $11,858 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 60¢ means the market puts it at about 60%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

More St. Louis odds