Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Mon Nov 9, 11:04 PM Eastern
Democratic US House seats in Florida: odds today
How many House seats will Democrats win in Florida?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Democrats win 8 | 83% |
| Democrats win 9 | 6% |
About $16,195 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 83¢ means the market puts it at about 83%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The Tampa Bay news behind it
- Is Florida turning purple again? Democrats make key gains despite Republican statewide election wins1 outlet · Nov 4
- DSA-endorsed candidate flips Florida House seat in Hillsborough County1 outlet · Nov 3
- Florida school board races are increasingly partisan. The job isn’t.1 outlet · Nov 9
- Republicans capture most US House seats in Tampa Bay, but Castor wins1 outlet · Nov 3
More Tampa Bay odds
- Tampa rainfall in NovemberAbove 3 inches 36% · Above 4 inches 18%
- Buccaneers regular season wins8 or more wins 42% · 9 or more wins 22%
- Peak Florida gas price this yearAbove $5.10 a gallon 8% · Above $4.70 a gallon 6%
- Florida visitors in 2026Above 142 million 42% · Above 140 million 82%
- DeSantis announces 2028 presidential runBy Feb 1, 2027 67% · By Jul 1, 2027 85%
- Florida Senate race 2028Republican wins 68% · Democrat wins 29%
- Starship launch from FloridaBefore 2027 16%
- Florida Senate margin of victoryMoody, 16+ pts 13%